Will the USA acquire or annex Greenland before 2027?

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Will the USA acquire or annex Greenland before 2027?
1. Choose your prediction
Yes
No
44%
Chance
55%
Yes1.86x
No1.51x
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Market Rules and Details

This market predicts whether the US will officially announce an agreement to acquire or annex Greenland, transferring sovereignty from Denmark.

Resolution is based on official statements from the US, Danish, or Greenlandic governments.

Resolution "Yes": If an official agreement (treaty, legislation, executive order) transferring sovereignty is announced before December 31, 2026. This counts even if the actual transfer happens later, provided the deal is finalized.

Resolution "No": If no official agreement to transfer sovereignty is announced by the deadline.

Social media posts or lease extensions (e.g., military bases) do not count.