Will Tarcísio de Freitas run for President of Brazil in 2026?

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Will Tarcísio de Freitas run for President of Brazil in 2026?
1. Choose your prediction
Yes
No
31%
Chance
68%
Yes2.22x
No1.21x
The market will close on
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Market Rules and Details

This market predicts whether Tarcísio de Freitas will run for President of Brazil in the 2026 elections. This market will be resolved according to the official confirmation that Tarcísio de Freitas will run for the office of President. "Yes" resolution: Will be considered the winner if Tarcísio de Freitas's candidacy for the Presidency of the Republic is approved (ratified) by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE). Once approved, the result is "Yes", regardless of any potential withdrawal or resignation following the ratification. "No" resolution: Will be considered the winner only if Tarcísio de Freitas does not register a candidacy for the Presidency or if his registration request is definitively rejected by the TSE. This market considers only the candidacy as the head of the presidential ticket. If the status of the candidacy is not defined by August 15, 2026, the market will await the judgment of the registrations by the TSE for definitive resolution. Changes to the registration or substitutions may be considered according to the course of the electoral period, as defined by the electoral calendar established by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE).